Decades of randomized experiments show meaningful, repeatable gains. Effects vary by context, message, and follow-up.
Research across multiple countries and decades confirms canvassing effectiveness. Door-to-door contact consistently increases voter turnout in many settings. Phone banking adds geographic reach with smaller but measurable effects. Deep canvassing can shift attitudes on specific issues for weeks or months.
These patterns hold across different electoral contexts and geographic regions. Randomized controlled trials eliminate selection bias and isolate causal effects. Meta-analyses combining multiple studies confirm robust findings.
For execution details, see How Does Canvassing Work in Field Campaigns?
By the Numbers: Effects You Can Expect
Quantitative research provides clear performance benchmarks for field actions. These numbers come from peer-reviewed studies using randomized experimental designs. Your results will vary by context, but these ranges guide strategic planning.
Turnout effects from field contact:
+2.5-4.3 percentage points
European meta-study across six countries demonstrates cross-cultural effectiveness. Ramiro et al., British Journal of Political Science (2019) shows canvassing works beyond U.S. contexts.
2-3 percentage points
Phone banking: smaller but measurable positive effects — Live volunteer phone calls increase turnout less than doors but scale better. Sister District research (2022) confirms gains from systematic phone programs.
Cost & Efficiency for Movements
Field contact remains one of the most cost-efficient mobilization methods.
~$20-35 per additional vote
Door-to-door: Personal canvassing cost ranges examined in Gerber & Green field experiments.
Phone: higher cost per conversion but broader reach
Phone banking typically costs less per contact attempt than door-to-door canvassing, yet lower contact and conversation rates lead to a higher cost per actual conversation or conversion. The tradeoff is balanced by greater geographic flexibility and scalability through volunteers, making phone banking effective for outreach at scale despite its higher per-conversion costs.
Field contact combines efficiency with effectiveness. The accountability created by face-to-face conversation justifies higher per-contact costs. Volunteers see body language and adjust messaging in real time. This human element drives superior conversion rates.
Track cost per result as you go — plan routes in the Canvassing App.
Deep Canvassing: When Attitudes Shift
Values-based conversations can create durable opinion change.
Deep canvassing differs from traditional persuasion through extended empathetic dialogue. Volunteers practice non-judgmental listening and encourage storytelling. These conversations focus on values rather than facts. The approach works on specific contentious issues where traditional persuasion fails.
~10 percentage point reduction in prejudice
Single deep canvassing conversation reduced prejudice against transgender people by approximately 10 points. Broockman & Kalla, "Durably Reducing Transphobia: A Field Experiment on Door-to-Door Canvassing," Science (2016) demonstrated breakthrough results.
6+ weeks of lasting effects
Effects persist 6+ weeks, sometimes months — Attitude changes lasted at least three months in follow-up surveys. Some effects persisted even longer in subsequent research. This durability distinguishes deep canvassing from temporary priming effects.
Use when empathy and storytelling drive persuasion
Deep canvassing requires 15-20 minute conversations versus 2-3 minute traditional contacts. Deploy this tactic strategically for high-stakes values-based campaigns. Train volunteers thoroughly in non-judgmental listening and story sharing.
Compounding Impact Across Cycles
Effects stack when contacts recur and data improves.
Single canvassing waves produce measurable short-term gains. Sustained field programs compound these effects over multiple election cycles.
Good data management turns each contact into improved future targeting.
Organizations that maintain consistent field presence build durable supporter networks. Learn more in Why Is Canvassing Important for Movements?
Contacted voters show higher turnout over time
Researchers found voters contacted through canvassing maintain elevated turnout in subsequent elections. The initial contact creates habit formation and civic identity.
Structured follow-up increases engagement longevity
Fast follow-up within 24-48 hours converts initial interest into sustained participation. Automated reminders and personalized outreach maintain momentum between field waves.
Understand motivations in Why Might a Citizen Participate in Canvassing Activities?
When It Works Best (and When It Won't)
Timing, message quality, and follow-up decide results.
Canvassing effectiveness varies dramatically by context and execution quality. Understanding when field contact delivers maximum impact guides resource allocation. Some contexts favor canvassing while others require different tactics.
New to the basics? Revisit What is Canvassing for definitions and tactics.
The most "Qomon" questions
Does canvassing still work in 2025?
Yes — door-to-door drives the strongest turnout gains. Research spanning 25+ years consistently shows personal contact effectiveness. Modern tools make field organizing more efficient than ever.
How much lift should I expect?
Plan for +2-7 percentage points, depending on timing and targeting. High-quality operations in good contexts hit upper range. Poorly executed programs show minimal effects. Context and follow-up determine results.
Is deep canvassing needed every time?
No; use it for values-based persuasion on specific issues. Traditional canvassing works for turnout and volunteer recruitment. Reserve deep canvassing for attitude change requiring extended empathetic dialogue.
What's the cost per impact?
Around $20-35 per additional vote for door-to-door canvassing. Phone banking costs more per conversion but scales better geographically. Digital channels cost less but show minimal direct behavioral impact.
What boosts results most?
Clean data and 48-hour follow-ups. Good targeting concentrates limited volunteer hours effectively. Fast follow-up converts initial interest into sustained action. These two factors separate successful from struggling campaigns.
Sources :
- Is Door-to-Door Canvassing Effective in Europe? Evidence from a Meta-study across Six European Countries, Cambridge University, 2016
- Phonebanking Research, Sister District, 2022
- Durably reducing transphobia: A field experiment on door-to-door canvassing, Science, 2016
